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Final Advance Estimate of 2019 Wheat Production in Nepal using CRAFT

The final advance estimate of 2019 wheat production was obtained on 10th May, 2019 using CRAFT, the CCAFS Regional Agricultural Forecasting Toolbox (see Methods on page 2). According to CRAFT, the total wheat production in 2019 is forecasted to be 2,003,885 MT, a 2.81 percent increase compared to the production level of 1,949,001 MT in 2018. The expected yield rate of wheat in the country is 2.92 MT per hectare. Furthermore, the forecasted figure is a 6.3 percent increase compared to the average production level of the last five years. The forecast was made based on the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MoALD)’s records of wheat planted area received on 7th May, 2019 (678,354 hectares) and is based on a prediction uncertainty of ±7.5 percent.

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