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First Advance Estimate of 2019 Wheat Production in Nepal using CRAFT

The first advance estimate of 2019 wheat production was obtained on 5th April, 2019 using CRAFT, the CCAFS Regional Agricultural Forecasting Toolbox. According to CRAFT, the total wheat roduction in 2019 is forecasted to be 1,950,946 MT, a 1.13 percent decrease compared to the production level of 1,973,151 MT in 2018. The expected yield rate of wheat in the country is expected to be 2.88 MT per hectare. Furthermore, the forecasted figure is a 3.5 percent increase compared to the average production level of the last five years. The forecast was made based on the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Development (MoALD)’s records of wheat planted area received on 25th March, 2019 (678,354 hectares) and is based on a prediction uncertainty of ±7.5 percent. 

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